Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 2.000454e-05 2.428322e-05 0.000029 0.000034 0.000041 0.000047 0.000055
2025-08-10 1.466662e-05 1.996997e-05 0.000026 0.000034 0.000043 0.000054 0.000067
2025-08-17 1.040812e-05 1.584623e-05 0.000023 0.000032 0.000043 0.000057 0.000074
2025-08-24 7.679221e-06 1.302745e-05 0.000020 0.000030 0.000043 0.000060 0.000081
2025-08-31 6.048558e-06 1.134499e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000045 0.000064 0.000089
2025-09-07 4.647450e-06 9.699885e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000045 0.000067 0.000096
2025-09-14 3.426826e-06 8.063652e-06 0.000016 0.000028 0.000045 0.000068 0.000100
2025-09-21 2.536923e-06 6.772060e-06 0.000014 0.000026 0.000045 0.000070 0.000105
2025-09-28 1.814809e-06 5.590120e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000044 0.000071 0.000109
2025-10-05 1.430213e-06 4.985736e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000045 0.000074 0.000116
2025-10-12 1.134748e-06 4.489238e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000046 0.000077 0.000124
2025-10-19 8.565567e-07 3.933182e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000047 0.000080 0.000130
2025-10-26 7.492812e-07 3.883852e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000052 0.000089 0.000146
2025-11-02 5.101182e-07 3.310578e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000053 0.000094 0.000156
2025-11-09 2.708292e-07 2.507966e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000051 0.000094 0.000160
2025-11-16 1.399571e-07 1.949269e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000051 0.000095 0.000166
2025-11-23 7.893287e-08 1.635138e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000052 0.000099 0.000175
2025-11-30 3.585050e-08 1.305518e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000052 0.000102 0.000183
2025-12-07 1.084033e-08 9.749907e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000051 0.000103 0.000187
2025-12-14 2.050718e-09 7.293310e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000051 0.000104 0.000193
2025-12-21 5.544032e-11 5.183331e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000049 0.000104 0.000197
2025-12-28 NaN 4.228370e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000051 0.000108 0.000206
2026-01-04 NaN 3.481302e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000052 0.000112 0.000216